Associations between exploratory dietary patterns and incident type 2 diabetes: a federated meta-analysis of individual participant data from 25 cohort studies.

Franziska Jannasch; Stefan Dietrich; Tom R P Bishop; Matthew Pearce; Anouar Fanidi; Gráinne O'Donoghue; Donal O'Gorman; Pedro Marques-Vidal; Peter Vollenweider; Maira Bes-Rastrollo; Liisa Byberg; Alicja Wolk; Maryam Hashemian; Reza Malekzadeh; Hossein Poustchi; Vivian C Luft; Sheila M Alvim de Matos; Jihye Kim; Mi Kyung Kim; Yeonjung Kim; Dalia Stern; Martin Lajous; Dianna J Magliano; Jonathan E Shaw; Tasnime Akbaraly; Mika Kivimaki; Gertraud Maskarinec; Loïc Le Marchand; Miguel Ángel Martínez-González; Sabita S Soedamah-Muthu; ; Nicholas J Wareham; Nita G Forouhi; Matthias B Schulze
Abstract
In several studies, exploratory dietary patterns (DP), derived by principal component analysis, were inversely or positively associated with incident type 2 diabetes (T2D). However, findings remained study-specific, inconsistent and rarely replicated. This study aimed to investigate the associations between DPs and T2D in multiple cohorts across the world.This federated meta-analysis of individual participant data was based on 25 prospective cohort studies from 5 continents including a total of 390,664 participants with a follow-up for T2D (3.8-25.0 years). After data harmonization across cohorts we evaluated 15 previously identified T2D-related DPs for association with incident T2D estimating pooled incidence rate ratios (IRR) and confidence intervals (CI) by Piecewise Poisson regression and random-effects meta-analysis.29,386 participants developed T2D during follow-up. Five DPs, characterized by higher intake of red meat, processed meat, French fries and refined grains, were associated with higher incidence of T2D. The strongest association was observed for a DP comprising these food groups besides others (IRR per 1 SD = 1.104, 95% CI 1.059-1.151). Although heterogeneity was present (I = 85%), IRR exceeded 1 in 18 of the 20 meta-analyzed studies. Original DPs associated with lower T2D risk were not confirmed. Instead, a healthy DP (HDP1) was associated with higher T2D risk (IRR per 1 SD = 1.057, 95% CI 1.027-1.088).pooledOur findings from various cohorts revealed positive associations for several DPs, characterized by higher intake of red meat, processed meat, French fries and refined grains, adding to the evidence-base that links DPs to higher T2D risk. However, no inverse DP-T2D associations were confirmed.
Journal EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF NUTRITION
ISSN 1436-6215
Published 01 Oct 2022
Volume 61
Issue 7
Pages 3649 3667 3649-3667
DOI 10.1007/s00394-022-02909-9
Type Journal Article | Meta-Analysis
Sponsorship NHMRC: 1173952