Mapping 123 million neonatal, infant and child deaths between 2000 and 2017.

Roy Burstein; Nathaniel J Henry; Michael L Collison; Laurie B Marczak; Amber Sligar; Stefanie Watson; Neal Marquez; Mahdieh Abbasalizad-Farhangi; Masoumeh Abbasi; Foad Abd-Allah; Amir Abdoli; Mohammad Abdollahi; Ibrahim Abdollahpour; Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader; Michael R M Abrigo; Dilaram Acharya; Oladimeji M Adebayo; Victor Adekanmbi; Davoud Adham; Mahdi Afshari; Mohammad Aghaali; Keivan Ahmadi; Mehdi Ahmadi; Ehsan Ahmadpour; Rushdia Ahmed; Chalachew Genet Akal; Joshua O Akinyemi; Fares Alahdab; Noore Alam; Genet Melak Alamene; Kefyalew Addis Alene; Mehran Alijanzadeh; Cyrus Alinia; Vahid Alipour; Syed Mohamed Aljunid; Mohammed J Almalki; Hesham M Al-Mekhlafi; Khalid Altirkawi; Nelson Alvis-Guzman; Adeladza Kofi Amegah; Saeed Amini; Arianna Maever Loreche Amit; Zohreh Anbari; Sofia Androudi; Mina Anjomshoa; Fereshteh Ansari; Carl Abelardo T Antonio; Jalal Arabloo; Zohreh Arefi; Olatunde Aremu; Bahram Armoon; Amit Arora; Al Artaman; Anvar Asadi; Mehran Asadi-Aliabadi; Amir Ashraf-Ganjouei; Reza Assadi; Bahar Ataeinia; Sachin R Atre; Beatriz Paulina Ayala Quintanilla; Martin Amogre Ayanore; Samad Azari; Ebrahim Babaee; Arefeh Babazadeh; Alaa Badawi; Soghra Bagheri; Mojtaba Bagherzadeh; Nafiseh Baheiraei; Abbas Balouchi; Aleksandra Barac; Quique Bassat; Bernhard T Baune; Mohsen Bayati; Neeraj Bedi; Ettore Beghi; Masoud Behzadifar; Meysam Behzadifar; Yared Belete Belay; Brent Bell; Michelle L Bell; Dessalegn Ajema Berbada; Robert S Bernstein; Natalia V Bhattacharjee; Suraj Bhattarai; Zulfiqar A Bhutta; Ali Bijani; Somayeh Bohlouli; Nicholas J K Breitborde; Gabrielle Britton; Annie J Browne; Sharath Burugina Nagaraja; Reinhard Busse; Zahid A Butt; Josip Car; Rosario Cárdenas; Carlos A Castañeda-Orjuela; Ester Cerin; Wagaye Fentahun Chanie; Pranab Chatterjee; Dinh-Toi Chu; Cyrus Cooper; Vera M Costa; Koustuv Dalal; Lalit Dandona; Rakhi Dandona; Farah Daoud; Ahmad Daryani; Rajat Das Gupta; Ian Davis; Nicole Davis Weaver; Dragos Virgil Davitoiu; Jan-Walter De Neve; Feleke Mekonnen Demeke; Gebre Teklemariam Demoz; Kebede Deribe; Rupak Desai; Aniruddha Deshpande; Hanna Demelash Desyibelew; Sagnik Dey; Samath Dhamminda Dharmaratne; Meghnath Dhimal; Daniel Diaz; Leila Doshmangir; Andre R Duraes; Laura Dwyer-Lindgren; Lucas Earl; Roya Ebrahimi; Soheil Ebrahimpour; Andem Effiong; Aziz Eftekhari; Elham Ehsani-Chimeh; Iman El Sayed; Maysaa El Sayed Zaki; Maha El Tantawi; Ziad El-Khatib; Mohammad Hassan Emamian; Shymaa Enany; Sharareh Eskandarieh; Oghenowede Eyawo; Maha Ezalarab; Mahbobeh Faramarzi; Mohammad Fareed; Roghiyeh Faridnia; Andre Faro; Ali Akbar Fazaeli; Mehdi Fazlzadeh; Netsanet Fentahun; Seyed-Mohammad Fereshtehnejad; João C Fernandes; Irina Filip; Florian Fischer; Nataliya A Foigt; Masoud Foroutan; Joel Msafiri Francis; Takeshi Fukumoto; Nancy Fullman; Silvano Gallus; Destallem Gebremedhin Gebre; Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot; Gebreamlak Gebremedhn Gebremeskel; Bradford D Gessner; Birhanu Geta; Peter W Gething; Reza Ghadimi; Keyghobad Ghadiri; Mahsa Ghajarzadeh; Ahmad Ghashghaee; Paramjit Singh Gill; Tiffany K Gill; Nick Golding; Nelson G M Gomes; Philimon N Gona; Sameer Vali Gopalani; Giuseppe Gorini; Bárbara Niegia Garcia Goulart; Nicholas Graetz; Felix Greaves; Manfred S Green; Yuming Guo; Arvin Haj-Mirzaian; Arya Haj-Mirzaian; Brian James Hall; Samer Hamidi; Hamidreza Haririan; Josep Maria Haro; Milad Hasankhani; Edris Hasanpoor; Amir Hasanzadeh; Hadi Hassankhani; Hamid Yimam Hassen; Mohamed I Hegazy; Delia Hendrie; Fatemeh Heydarpour; Thomas R Hird; Chi Linh Hoang; Gillian Hollerich; Enayatollah Homaie Rad; Mojtaba Hoseini-Ghahfarokhi; Naznin Hossain; Mostafa Hosseini; Mehdi Hosseinzadeh; Mihaela Hostiuc; Sorin Hostiuc; Mowafa Househ; Mohamed Hsairi; Olayinka Stephen Ilesanmi; Mohammad Hasan Imani-Nasab; Usman Iqbal; Seyed Sina Naghibi Irvani; Nazrul Islam; Sheikh Mohammed Shariful Islam; Mikk Jürisson; Nader Jafari Balalami; Amir Jalali; Javad Javidnia; Achala Upendra Jayatilleke; Ensiyeh Jenabi; John S Ji; Yash B Jobanputra; Kimberly Johnson; Jost B Jonas; 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Ghulam Mustafa; Behnam Nabavizadeh; Mehdi Naderi; Ahamarshan Jayaraman Nagarajan; Azin Nahvijou; Farid Najafi; Vinay Nangia; Duduzile Edith Ndwandwe; Nahid Neamati; Ionut Negoi; Ruxandra Irina Negoi; Josephine W Ngunjiri; Huong Lan Thi Nguyen; Long Hoang Nguyen; Son Hoang Nguyen; Katie R Nielsen; Dina Nur Anggraini Ningrum; Yirga Legesse Nirayo; Molly R Nixon; Chukwudi A Nnaji; Marzieh Nojomi; Mehdi Noroozi; Shirin Nosratnejad; Jean Jacques Noubiap; Soraya Nouraei Motlagh; Richard Ofori-Asenso; Felix Akpojene Ogbo; Kelechi E Oladimeji; Andrew T Olagunju; Meysam Olfatifar; Solomon Olum; Bolajoko Olubukunola Olusanya; Mojisola Morenike Oluwasanu; Obinna E Onwujekwe; Eyal Oren; Doris D V Ortega-Altamirano; Alberto Ortiz; Osayomwanbo Osarenotor; Frank B Osei; Aaron E Osgood-Zimmerman; Stanislav S Otstavnov; Mayowa Ojo Owolabi; Mahesh P A; Abdol Sattar Pagheh; Smita Pakhale; Songhomitra Panda-Jonas; Animika Pandey; Eun-Kee Park; Hadi Parsian; Tahereh Pashaei; Sangram Kishor Patel; Veincent Christian Filipino Pepito; 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Abstract
Since 2000, many countries have achieved considerable success in improving child survival, but localized progress remains unclear. To inform efforts towards United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 3.2-to end preventable child deaths by 2030-we need consistently estimated data at the subnational level regarding child mortality rates and trends. Here we quantified, for the period 2000-2017, the subnational variation in mortality rates and number of deaths of neonates, infants and children under 5 years of age within 99 low- and middle-income countries using a geostatistical survival model. We estimated that 32% of children under 5 in these countries lived in districts that had attained rates of 25 or fewer child deaths per 1,000 live births by 2017, and that 58% of child deaths between 2000 and 2017 in these countries could have been averted in the absence of geographical inequality. This study enables the identification of high-mortality clusters, patterns of progress and geographical inequalities to inform appropriate investments and implementations that will help to improve the health of all populations.
Journal NATURE
ISSN 1476-4687
Published 01 Oct 2019
Volume 574
Issue 7778
Pages 353-358
DOI 10.1038/s41586-019-1545-0
Type Journal Article
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