Cardiac stress and inflammatory markers as predictors of heart failure in patients with type 2 diabetes: the ADVANCE trial
Shaw, JE; Williams, B; Mancia, G; Cooper, ME; Chalmers, J; Sattar, N; Hamet, P; Woodward, M; Grobbee, DE; Jun, M; Rahimi, K; Welsh, P; Zoungas, S; Ohkuma, T
Abstract
OBJECTIVE:
This study examined the individual and combined effect of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and hs-CRP on the prediction of heart failure incidence or progression in patients with type 2 diabetes.
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS:
A nested case-cohort study was conducted in 3,098 participants with type 2 diabetes in the Action in Diabetes and Vascular Disease: Preterax and Diamicron Modified Release Controlled Evaluation (ADVANCE) trial.
RESULTS:
A higher value of each biomarker was significantly associated with a higher risk of heart failure incidence or progression, after adjustment for major risk factors. The hazard ratios per 1-SD increase were 3.06 (95% CI 2.37, 3.96) for NT-proBNP, 1.50 (1.27, 1.77) for hs-cTnT, 1.48 (1.27, 1.72) for IL-6, and 1.32 (1.12, 1.55) for hs-CRP. The addition of NT-proBNP to the model including conventional risk factors meaningfully improved 5-year risk-predictive performance (C statistic 0.8162 to 0.8800; continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI] 73.1%; categorical NRI [<5%, 5-10%, >10% 5-year risk] 24.2%). In contrast, the addition of hs-cTnT, IL-6, or hs-CRP did not improve the prediction metrics consistently in combination or when added to NT-proBNP.
CONCLUSIONS:
Only NT-proBNP strongly and consistently improved the prediction of heart failure in patients with type 2 diabetes beyond a wide range of clinical risk factors and biomarkers.
© 2017 by the American Diabetes Association.
| Journal | DIABETES CARE |
| ISSN | 0149-5992 |
| Published | 01 Sep 2017 |
| Volume | 40 |
| Issue | 9 |
| Pages | 1203-9 |
| DOI | 10.2337/dc17-0509 |
| Type | Journal Article |
| Sponsorship |
NHMRC: ADVANCE trial, 1080206, 1081328, 1079438; Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
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